AB Volvo (publ) logo

AB Volvo (publ)

VOLV-A.ST
47
Agricultural - Machinery · Industrials
Price
kr 315.60
+4.80 (+1.54%)
Market Cap
kr 641.76B
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
47
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Winston Score between 40 and 70. The stock passes some quality checks but not all.

AB Volvo is a Swedish industrial company that makes large trucks, buses, construction equipment, and marine and industrial engines. Its trucks — sold under the Volvo and Mack brands — are its biggest business, and its main customers are freight companies, construction firms, and public transit operators. Volvo is one of the largest heavy truck manufacturers in the world.

The company earns money by selling vehicles and equipment outright, and also through financing, spare parts, and service contracts — which provide steadier income than one-time hardware sales. Volvo operates globally, with strong positions in Europe, North America, and Asia, and generates hundreds of billions of Swedish kronor in annual revenue. Its large installed base of trucks and equipment creates a reliable aftermarket parts and service business that competitors find hard to displace. The biggest risk the company faces is that demand for heavy trucks is highly cyclical, meaning sales can drop sharply when the broader economy slows down.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
25.9%
Modest — 25.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
9.9%
Modest — 9.9% operating margin
ROCE
2.4%
Weak — 2.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-9.5%
Shrinking sales (-9.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
-28.8%
Earnings shrinking (-28.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
151%
Turns 151% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
5.5%
Thin free cash flow (5.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.35
Elevated debt (1.35)
Interest Cover
25.19x
Comfortably covers interest (25.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
18.2x
Fair value — P/E 18.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+6.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (18.2 → 12.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.03%
Healthy income — 4.03% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+47.7%
Dividend growing fast (47.7% YoY)

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