AB Volvo (publ) logo

AB Volvo (publ)

VOLV-B.ST
35
Agricultural - Machinery · Industrials
Price
kr 315.10
+5.00 (+1.61%)
Market Cap
kr 640.74B
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
35
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Winston Score below 40. The stock fails on most of our quality checks.

AB Volvo is a Swedish industrial company that makes large trucks, buses, construction equipment, and marine and industrial engines. Its trucks — sold under the Volvo and Mack brands — are its biggest business, and its main customers are freight companies, construction firms, and governments around the world. Volvo is one of the largest heavy truck manufacturers on the planet.

The company earns money by selling vehicles and equipment outright, and also through financing, spare parts, and service contracts — the parts and services business provides steady income even when new vehicle sales slow down. Volvo operates globally, with strong positions in Europe, North America, and Asia, and generates hundreds of billions of Swedish kronor in annual revenue. Its wide dealer and service network is a key competitive advantage, but the business is sensitive to economic cycles — when construction activity or freight demand drops, truck orders tend to fall sharply, which is the main risk investors watch closely.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-9.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-15.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$26.2B/ year

Declining (-15% vs prior year)

5.5% of revenue

In line with sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

4.4%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$72.5B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Winston looking concerned
Revenue declining

AB Volvo (publ)'s revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
25.9%
Modest — 25.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
9.9%
Modest — 9.9% operating margin
ROCE
2.4%
Weak — 2.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-9.5%
Shrinking sales (-9.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
-28.8%
Earnings shrinking (-28.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
151%
Turns 151% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
5.0%
Thin free cash flow (5.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.35
Elevated debt (1.35)
Interest Cover
25.68x
Comfortably covers interest (25.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
N/A
Data not available
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.03%
Healthy income — 4.03% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+47.7%
Dividend growing fast (47.7% YoY)

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