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Abacus Global Management

ABX
57
Insurance - Life · Financial Services
Price
$10.36
-0.15 (-1.43%)
Market Cap
$993.8M
Winston Score
57
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+97.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 50.4M (2021) → 99.2M (2025)

Abacus Global Management is a financial services company that buys and manages life insurance policies in the secondary market. When people no longer want or need their life insurance, Abacus purchases those policies from them, pays the remaining premiums, and collects the death benefit when the insured person passes away. The company operates in the life settlements industry, which turns an otherwise unused asset into cash for policyholders.

Abacus earns money by acquiring these policies at a discount to their eventual payout, creating a spread between what it pays and what it ultimately collects. The company operates primarily in the United States and has a market cap of roughly $800 million. Its competitive position depends on its ability to accurately price the life expectancy of policyholders and source deals efficiently, which requires specialized actuarial expertise. The main risk the business faces is that policyholders live longer than expected, which delays cash flows and compresses returns on invested capital.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+34.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

+45.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

66.1%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~0 months

$0 cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Strong grower

Abacus Global Management is growing revenue at 35% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
89.4%
Premium pricing power — 89.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
30.9%
Excellent — 30.9% operating margin
ROCE
4.4%
Weak — 4.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+86.1%
Fast-growing sales (86.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-66%
Weak — only -66% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-10.6%
Burning cash (-10.6%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
4.51x
Adequate interest coverage (4.5x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
25.4x
Growth-priced — P/E 25.4

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+16.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (25.4 → 8.6)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.72%
Small dividend — 1.72% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
N/A
no trend
Data not available

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