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ADTRAN Holdings

ADTN
22
Communication Equipment · Technology
Price
$11.65
-0.06 (-0.51%)
Market Cap
$943.6M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
22
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+64.1% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 48.6M (2021) → 79.7M (2025)

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides end-to-end fiber networking solutions for communications service provider, enterprises, and government customers in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Network Solutions, and Services & Support. The company offers fiber access and fiber to the node platforms; transceivers, cables, and other miscellaneous materials; passive optical network optical line terminals; fi

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+15.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+90.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$204M/ year

Declining (-8% vs prior year)

18.8% of revenue

In line with sector average (15%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

2.5%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$88M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

ADTRAN Holdings is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 15%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
39.5%
Modest — 39.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
2.2%
Thin — 2.2% operating margin
ROCE
1.8%
Weak — 1.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+18.8%
Fast-growing sales (18.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
5.2%
Thin free cash flow (5.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.59
Elevated debt (1.59)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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