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Advanced Flower Capital

AFCG
43
REIT - Diversified · Real Estate
Price
$2.81
-0.11 (-3.77%)
Market Cap
$64.1M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
43
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+35.5% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 16.4M (2021) → 22.3M (2025)

Advanced Flower Capital is a specialty finance company that lends money to cannabis businesses across the United States. Instead of growing or selling cannabis itself, it acts like a bank — providing loans to licensed cannabis operators such as dispensaries and cultivators who need capital to run or expand their operations. It operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT), meaning most of its loans are secured by real property owned by cannabis companies.

The company earns money primarily through interest payments on the loans it makes, which is a straightforward lending model. Because cannabis is still federally illegal in the U.S., most traditional banks will not lend to cannabis businesses, which gives specialty lenders like Advanced Flower Capital a niche but risky position in the market. The biggest risk the company faces is that borrowers may struggle to repay loans if cannabis markets remain oversupplied and prices stay depressed, which has been a real challenge across the industry in recent years.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+41.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+172.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

36.6%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$113M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Advanced Flower Capital grew revenue 41% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
82.0%
Premium pricing power — 82.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
140.4%
Excellent — 140.4% operating margin
ROCE
3.0%
Weak — 3.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-46.0%
Shrinking sales (-46.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-163.9%
Earnings shrinking (-163.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
61.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (61.9%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.50
Elevated debt (1.50)
Interest Cover
0.02x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.0x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
7.99%
Healthy income — 7.99% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
-61.5%
Dividend cut (-61.5% YoY) — warning sign

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