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Advenica AB

ADVE.ST
33
Information Technology Services · Technology
Price
kr 16.40
-1.60 (-8.89%)
Market Cap
kr 721.4M
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
33
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+17.5% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 37.4M (2021) → 44.0M (2025)

Advenica is a Swedish cybersecurity company that helps governments, militaries, and critical infrastructure operators keep their most sensitive data safe. It makes hardware and software products that control how information moves between networks with different security levels — for example, letting a classified military network share some data with a less-secret network without creating a security gap. This type of product is called a "data diode" or high-assurance cybersecurity solution, and Advenica is one of the few European companies specializing in this niche.

Advenica earns money by selling its security hardware devices and software licenses, often alongside ongoing support and maintenance contracts. It operates primarily in Sweden and the broader European market, serving defense agencies, energy companies, and other critical infrastructure clients. Its main competitive advantage is its certification and trust with government customers, which takes years to build and is hard for new competitors to replicate. The key growth driver is rising European defense and critical infrastructure spending, though its small size and thin operating margins leave little room for error if sales slow down.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-33.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-126.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$30M/ year

Flat (+4% vs prior year)

14.8% of revenue

In line with sector average (15%)

Steady R&D investment year-over-year

Insider Activity

62.3%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Runway

~19 months

$81M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Revenue declining

Advenica AB's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
55.4%
Premium pricing power — 55.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
-7.2%
Losing money on operations — -7.2%
ROCE
-2.3%
Weak — -2.3% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.9%
Shrinking sales (-1.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
-76.4%
Earnings shrinking (-76.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
-27%
Weak — only -27% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-3.4%
Burning cash (-3.4%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.06
Conservative — low debt load (0.06)
Interest Cover
2.09x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.1x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
163.7x
Expensive — P/E 163.7

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+41.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (163.7 → 122.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.72%
Small dividend — 0.72% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
N/A
no trend
Data not available

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