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Aecom

ACM
35
Engineering & Construction · Industrials
Winston Score
35
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Aecom is a professional services firm that designs and manages large infrastructure projects like bridges, highways, airports, water systems, and government buildings. Its main customers are governments and public agencies around the world, though it also works with private companies. It is one of the largest infrastructure consulting and engineering firms in the United States.

Aecom makes money by charging fees for its design, planning, and project management services rather than building things itself. It operates globally, with significant work across North America, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific, and generates roughly $15 billion in annual revenue. Its long-term government contracts and deep expertise in complex public infrastructure create some switching costs, but its thin margins — around 6-7% — mean profitability is sensitive to project delays, cost overruns, and changes in government spending budgets, which remain the key risk to watch.

Winston Score History

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
7.3%
Thin — 7.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
6.3%
Modest — 6.3% operating margin
ROCE
4.3%
Weak — 4.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.6%
Shrinking sales (-1.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
+9.3%
Earnings growing (9.3% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
158%
Turns 158% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
3.9%
Thin free cash flow (3.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.48
Elevated debt (1.48)
Interest Cover
5.52x
Adequate interest coverage (5.5x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.3x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 16.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+4.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (16.3 → 11.5)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.74%
no trend
Small dividend — 1.74% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+19.0%
no trend
Dividend growing fast (19.0% YoY)

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