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AerCap Holdings N.V.

AER
59
Rental & Leasing Services · Industrials
Price
$146.97
-0.19 (-0.13%)
Market Cap
$23.17B
Winston Score
59
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+18.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 149.0M (2021) → 176.1M (2025)

AerCap is the world's largest aircraft leasing company. Instead of flying planes itself, it buys commercial aircraft from manufacturers like Boeing and Airbus, then rents those planes to airlines around the world. Its customers are passenger and cargo airlines across more than 80 countries.

AerCap makes money by collecting monthly lease payments from airlines, similar to how a landlord collects rent. It manages a fleet of roughly 3,500 aircraft and engines, giving it enormous scale and bargaining power when buying planes at bulk discounts — that scale is its main competitive advantage. The company is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, which also provides tax benefits. The key risk is that a downturn in air travel, rising interest rates, or airline bankruptcies can reduce lease income and lower the value of its aircraft portfolio, since AerCap carries significant debt to finance its fleet purchases.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

12 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 12 sells on AER in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+4.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+41.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

4.9%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Runway

~6 years

$1.6B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$1.6B cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

AerCap Holdings N.V. is growing revenue at 4% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
65.4%
Premium pricing power — 65.4% gross margin
Operating Margin
59.3%
Excellent — 59.3% operating margin
ROCE
2.1%
Weak — 2.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+0.7%
Nearly flat sales (0.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+100.4%
Earnings growing fast (100.4% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
142%
Turns 142% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
5.0%
Thin free cash flow (5.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.34
Heavy debt load (2.34)
Interest Cover
1.88x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.9x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
6.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 6.3

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-2.3
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.91%
Small dividend — 0.91% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+28.8%
Dividend growing fast (28.8% YoY)

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