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Affirm Holdings

AFRM
56
Software - Infrastructure · Technology
Price
$76.07
-3.77 (-4.72%)
Market Cap
$25.48B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
56
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+26.5% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 269.5M (2021) → 341.0M (2025)

Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates a platform for digital and mobile-first commerce in the United States and Canada. The company's platform includes point-of-sale payment solution for consumers, merchant commerce solutions, and a consumer-focused app. Its payments network and partnership with an originating bank, enables consumers to pay for a purchase over time with terms ranging from one to forty-eight months. As of June 30, 2021, the company had approximately 29,000 merchants integrated on its pl

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+33.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

+250.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (15%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

16.0%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.4B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Strong grower

Affirm Holdings is growing revenue at 33% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
67.7%
Premium pricing power — 67.7% gross margin
Operating Margin
6.6%
Modest — 6.6% operating margin
ROCE
0.5%
Weak — 0.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+32.7%
Fast-growing sales (32.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
295%
Turns 295% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
16.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (16.7%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.55
Heavy debt load (2.55)
Interest Cover
0.53x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.5x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
89.6x
Expensive — P/E 89.6

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+42.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (89.6 → 47.4)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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