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Aflac Incorporated logo

Aflac Incorporated

AFL
52
Insurance - Life · Financial Services
Price
$124.72
+1.70 (+1.38%)
Market Cap
$63.48B
Winston Score
52
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

21.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 676.7M (2021) → 532.0M (2025)

Aflac sells supplemental insurance, which means it pays cash directly to people when they get sick or injured — on top of whatever their regular health insurance covers. Its most popular products include cancer insurance, accident coverage, and hospital indemnity plans, sold mainly to individuals and employees at small and mid-sized businesses. Aflac is the largest provider of supplemental insurance in both the United States and Japan.

The company earns money by collecting premiums from policyholders and investing that float, with Japan accounting for roughly 70% of total revenue and the U.S. making up the rest. Its brand recognition — especially the famous duck mascot — and its deep distribution network through workplaces give it a durable competitive position that is hard for smaller rivals to replicate. The biggest risk Aflac faces is currency exposure, since a weaker Japanese yen reduces the value of its Japan earnings when converted back to U.S. dollars.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

8 trades / 12mo

5 Congressional buys and 3 sells on AFL in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+25.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

>+1,000% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.9%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$5.2B cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Aflac Incorporated is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 25%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
57.5%
Premium pricing power — 57.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
28.4%
Excellent — 28.4% operating margin
ROCE
4.1%
Weak — 4.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+6.3%
Slow sales growth (6.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
+36.8%
Earnings growing fast (36.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
63%
Modest — 63% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
16.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (16.1%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.35
Conservative — low debt load (0.35)
Interest Cover
24.53x
Comfortably covers interest (24.5x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
14.2x
Attractive valuation — P/E 14.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-1.9
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.95%
Small dividend — 1.95% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+10.2%
Dividend growing fast (10.2% YoY)

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