AGNC Investment

AGNC

REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate

Price

$11.22

-0.21 (-1.84%)

Market Cap

$12.88B

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is serious

Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+93.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 530.0M (2021) → 1.02B (2025)

AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. It funds its investments primarily through collateralized borrowings structured as repurchase agreements. The company has elected to be taxed

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+358.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

<−1,000% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.7%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$493M cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

AGNC Investment grew revenue 358% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

30.4%

Modest — 30.4% gross margin

Operating Margin

27.1%

Excellent — 27.1% operating margin

ROCE

0.2%

Weak — 0.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+19.5%

Fast-growing sales (19.5% YoY)

EPS YoY

+225.1%

Earnings growing fast (225.1% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

58%

Weak — only 58% of profit becomes cash

FCF Margin

25.1%

Converts sales into free cash efficiently (25.1%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

8.59

Heavy debt load (8.59)

Interest Cover

1.40x

Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.4x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

8.8x

Attractive valuation — P/E 8.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward

+1.6

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield

12.83%

Healthy income — 12.83% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth

+0.0%

Dividend flat

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