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Agree Realty Corporation

ADC
62
REIT - Retail · Real Estate
Price
$81.12
+0.37 (+0.46%)
Market Cap
$9.74B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
62
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+65.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 67.1M (2021) → 111.2M (2025)

Agree Realty is a real estate company that owns and leases retail properties across the United States. Its tenants are mostly large, well-known retailers like Walmart, Dollar General, Tractor Supply, and other grocery or discount chains. The company is structured as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), meaning it owns the physical buildings and land that these retailers operate from.

Agree Realty makes money by collecting rent from its tenants under long-term "net lease" agreements, where tenants also pay most property expenses like taxes and maintenance. The company owns roughly 2,200 properties spread across 49 states, making it one of the larger net-lease retail REITs in the country. Its competitive strength comes from focusing on tenants in recession-resistant categories like grocery, home improvement, and discount retail, which tend to hold up even when the economy slows. The main risk is rising interest rates, which increase borrowing costs and can make the company's dividend yield less attractive to investors.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

4 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 3 sells on ADC in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+18.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+19.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

2.1%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

~0 months

$25M cash & investments

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Agree Realty Corporation has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
87.6%
Premium pricing power — 87.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
49.1%
Excellent — 49.1% operating margin
ROCE
1.0%
Weak — 1.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+17.8%
Fast-growing sales (17.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
+3.9%
Modest earnings growth (3.9% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
238%
Turns 238% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
14.7%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (14.7%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.52
Conservative — low debt load (0.52)
Interest Cover
2.58x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.6x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
43.6x
Pricey — P/E 43.6

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+4.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (43.6 → 39.3)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
3.87%
Moderate income — 3.87% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+1.9%
Dividend flat

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