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Alamo Group

ALG
40
Agricultural - Machinery · Industrials
Winston Score
40
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Alamo Group makes heavy-duty equipment used to maintain roadsides, vegetation, and infrastructure. Its main products include mowing machines, excavators, and street sweepers sold to government agencies, municipalities, and utility companies. The company owns well-known brands like Gradall and Tiger, and is one of the larger North American manufacturers of outdoor power and maintenance equipment for public works.

Alamo earns revenue by selling this equipment directly to customers, with government contracts making up a large share of its business. It operates primarily in North America but also has a meaningful presence in Europe, and generates roughly $1.5 billion in annual revenue. Its competitive position benefits from long-standing relationships with government buyers and a broad product lineup that is hard for smaller rivals to match. The key risk is that government budget cuts or delays in infrastructure spending could reduce demand for its equipment, since public agencies are its most important customers.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+6.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-8.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

1.5%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

~21 months

$195M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Growth context

Alamo Group is growing revenue at 7% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
24.0%
Thin — 24.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
10.1%
Modest — 10.1% operating margin
ROCE
2.9%
Weak — 2.9% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+2.3%
Nearly flat sales (2.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
-12.8%
Earnings shrinking (-12.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
138%
Turns 138% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
6.8%
Modest free cash flow (6.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.25
Conservative — low debt load (0.25)
Interest Cover
5.29x
Adequate interest coverage (5.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.3x
Fair value — P/E 19.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+3.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (19.3 → 15.4)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.79%
Small dividend — 0.79% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+14.3%
Dividend growing fast (14.3% YoY)

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