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Alamos Gold

AGI
70
Gold · Basic Materials
Price
$28.26
+0.01 (+0.04%)
Market Cap
$11.87B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
70
Winston is happy
A high-quality business with solid fundamentals.

Share count rising — dilution

+7.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 392.6M (2021) → 422.8M (2025)

Alamos Gold is a Canadian gold mining company. It digs gold out of the ground at several mines in North America and sells that gold to refiners, banks, and commodity dealers at the current market price. The company owns three producing mines — Young-Davidson and Island Gold in Ontario, Canada, and Mulatos in Mexico — making it a mid-tier gold producer focused entirely on the Americas.

Alamos earns revenue by selling physical gold, so its income rises and falls with the global gold price. The company operates exclusively in Canada and Mexico, with a market cap around $13 billion, and its low-cost Canadian mines give it a cost advantage over many peers. Island Gold is currently being expanded in a major underground project that could significantly increase production over the next few years, but the company faces the ongoing risk that a sharp drop in gold prices would quickly shrink its profit margins.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+76.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

>+1,000% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.4%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$706M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Alamos Gold grew revenue 77% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
63.9%
Premium pricing power — 63.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
57.4%
Excellent — 57.4% operating margin
ROCE
7.0%
Weak — 7.0% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+47.5%
Fast-growing sales (47.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
+300.8%
Earnings growing fast (300.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
89%
Modest — 89% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
16.8%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (16.8%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.05
Conservative — low debt load (0.05)
Interest Cover
871.44x
Comfortably covers interest (871.4x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+3.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (11.3 → 8.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.41%
Small dividend — 0.41% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+30.0%
Dividend growing fast (30.0% YoY)

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