Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) Stock Analysis & Winston Score

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P., a diversified natural resource company, produces and markets coal primarily to utilities and industrial users in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties. It produces a range of thermal and metallurgical coal with sulfur and heat contents. The company operates seven underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsy

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

7 trades / 12mo

5 Congressional buys and 2 sells on ARLP in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin

32.2%

Modest — 32.2% gross margin

Operating Margin

4.2%

Thin — 4.2% operating margin

ROCE

1.0%

Weak — 1.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-7.1%

Shrinking sales (-7.1% YoY)

EPS YoY

-10.3%

Earnings shrinking (-10.3% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

248%

Turns 248% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

15.6%

Converts sales into free cash efficiently (15.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.28

Conservative — low debt load (0.28)

Interest Cover

7.27x

Adequate interest coverage (7.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

12.9x

no trend

Attractive valuation — P/E 12.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward

+5.3

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (12.9 → 7.6)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield

10.14%

no trend

Healthy income — 10.14% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth

-14.3%

no trend

Dividend cut (-14.3% YoY) — warning sign

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