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Alpha Metallurgical Resources

AMR
19
Coal · Energy
Price
$143.80
-1.42 (-0.98%)
Market Cap
$1.83B
Winston Score
19
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

31.1% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 18.9M (2021) → 13.0M (2025)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources is a coal mining company based in the United States. It mines and sells metallurgical coal, which is a specific type of coal used to make steel — not to generate electricity. Its main customers are steel mills, mostly located in other countries like India, Brazil, and across Europe. The company operates mines primarily in Virginia and West Virginia.

Alpha makes money by selling metallurgical coal directly to steel producers under contracts and on the spot market. It is one of the larger exporters of met coal in the United States, which gives it some scale advantage, but it competes in a global commodity market where it has little control over prices. The biggest risk the company faces is that steel demand — and therefore met coal demand — is closely tied to global economic conditions, and the long-term push to make "green steel" using less coal could permanently shrink its customer base over time.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-15.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-743.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

19.4%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Runway

~9 years

$366M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$366M cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Alpha Metallurgical Resources's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
-1.3%
Thin — -1.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
-4.1%
Losing money on operations — -4.1%
ROCE
-1.4%
Weak — -1.4% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-28.0%
Shrinking sales (-28.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-132.9%
Earnings shrinking (-132.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
0.8%
Thin free cash flow (0.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.01
Conservative — low debt load (0.01)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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