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Amcor

AMCR
40
Packaging & Containers · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$43.94
-0.90 (-2.01%)
Market Cap
$20.32B
Winston Score
40
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+2.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 311.2M (2021) → 318.6M (2025)

Amcor makes the packaging that holds everyday products like food, drinks, medicine, and personal care items. Its main products include flexible packaging (think pouches and wrappers) and rigid containers (like plastic bottles and jars). The company sells to large consumer goods companies such as Nestlé, Unilever, and pharmaceutical firms, making it one of the largest packaging manufacturers in the world.

Amcor earns money by selling packaging materials and containers directly to businesses, not to everyday shoppers. It operates in over 40 countries across North America, Europe, Asia, and Latin America, with roughly 400 manufacturing facilities worldwide. Its competitive edge comes from long-term contracts with major customers and the high cost for those customers to switch suppliers. The key risk the company faces is that raw material costs, like resin and aluminum, can rise quickly and squeeze its already thin profit margins, as reflected in its low operating margin of under 7%.

Winston Score History

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18 Congressional buys and 12 sells on AMCR in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+77.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-11.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$120M/ year

Rising (+13% vs prior year)

0.8% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

0.5%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~8 years

$1.6B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$1.6B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue accelerating

Amcor grew revenue 77% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
17.9%
Thin — 17.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
8.9%
Modest — 8.9% operating margin
ROCE
1.9%
Weak — 1.9% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+24.1%
Fast-growing sales (24.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
-42.3%
Earnings shrinking (-42.3% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
317%
Turns 317% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
5.7%
Thin free cash flow (5.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.36
Elevated debt (1.36)
Interest Cover
2.50x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.5x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
28.5x
Growth-priced — P/E 28.5

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+18.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (28.5 → 9.9)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
6.01%
Healthy income — 6.01% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+206.9%
Dividend growing fast (206.9% YoY)

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