American Airlines Group

AAL

Airlines, Airports & Air Services · Industrials

Price

$14.98

-0.62 (-3.97%)

Market Cap

$9.91B

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is worried

Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+2.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 644.0M (2021) → 661.9M (2025)

American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a mainline fleet of 865 aircraft. The company was formerly known

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+10.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+19.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.6%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$903M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

American Airlines Group is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 11%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

26.0%

Modest — 26.0% gross margin

Operating Margin

-0.3%

Losing money on operations — -0.3%

ROCE

-0.2%

Weak — -0.2% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+3.3%

Slow sales growth (3.3% YoY)

EPS YoY

-70.2%

Earnings shrinking (-70.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency

0/8 quarters

Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

2409%

Turns 2409% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

2.0%

Thin free cash flow (2.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

N/A

—

Data not available

Interest Cover

1.91x

Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.9x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

48.3x

Expensive — P/E 48.3

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward

+43.8

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (48.3 → 4.5)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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