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AMERISAFE

AMSF
39
Insurance - Specialty · Financial Services
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
39
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

AMERISAFE is a specialty insurance company that focuses almost entirely on workers' compensation insurance for small and mid-sized businesses in high-risk industries. Its main customers are employers in fields like logging, trucking, construction, and agriculture — jobs where workers face a real chance of getting hurt on the job. The company operates primarily in the United States, with a strong presence in the South and rural regions.

AMERISAFE makes money by collecting insurance premiums from employers and investing those funds, paying out claims when workers are injured. It is a relatively small insurer with a market cap around $600 million, but its narrow focus on dangerous occupations gives it deep expertise in pricing risk that generalist insurers often lack. The key risk the company faces is that a rise in workplace injury claims — or a soft pricing environment where competitors undercut premiums — could compress profitability and squeeze margins over time.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+10.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-8.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

2.1%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~3 years

$34M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$34M cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

AMERISAFE is growing revenue at 10% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
42.0%
Healthy — 42.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
12.7%
Healthy — 12.7% operating margin
ROCE
4.1%
Weak — 4.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+7.8%
Steady sales growth (7.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-2.0%
Earnings shrinking (-2.0% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
22%
Weak — only 22% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
2.5%
Thin free cash flow (2.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
14.5x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 14.5

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-2.2
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
7.43%
no trend
Healthy income — 7.43% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
-42.5%
no trend
Dividend cut (-42.5% YoY) — warning sign

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