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AMREP Corporation

AXR
51
Real Estate - Development · Real Estate
Price
$25.60
+0.10 (+0.39%)
Market Cap
$135.8M
Winston Score
51
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

30.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 7.8M (2021) → 5.4M (2025)

AMREP Corporation is a small real estate company that buys raw land, develops it, and sells it to homebuilders and other buyers. The company owns large tracts of land in New Mexico, particularly in the Rio Rancho area near Albuquerque, where it has been selling lots for decades. It is one of the largest private landowners in that region.

AMREP makes money by selling finished and unfinished land parcels, earning a profit on the difference between its land costs and sale prices. Its high gross margin reflects how cheaply it acquired much of its land years ago. The company is very small, with a market cap around $100 million, and its operations are almost entirely concentrated in New Mexico, which limits diversification. The main risk is that its business depends heavily on local housing demand and homebuilder activity in a single geographic market, making it vulnerable to slowdowns in the New Mexico real estate market.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
71.5%
Premium pricing power — 71.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
20.6%
Excellent — 20.6% operating margin
ROCE
2.2%
Weak — 2.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-31.2%
Shrinking sales (-31.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-31.5%
Earnings shrinking (-31.5% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
10%
Weak — only 10% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
1.8%
Thin free cash flow (1.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.00
Conservative — low debt load (0.00)
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.3x
Fair value — P/E 15.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+1.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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