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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

ADM
36
Agricultural Farm Products · Consumer Defensive
Also trades as: 0JQQ.L · ADM.DE
Price
$80.12
-0.34 (-0.42%)
Market Cap
$38.61B
Winston Score
36
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 12, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Share count falling — buybacks

14.5% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 566.0M (2021) → 484.0M (2025)

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) is one of the largest agricultural processing companies in the world. It buys crops like corn, soybeans, and wheat from farmers, then processes them into ingredients used in food, animal feed, and fuel. Its customers include food manufacturers, livestock producers, and fuel blenders across dozens of industries.

ADM makes money by buying raw crops cheaply, processing them, and selling the finished products at a higher price — a model called "origination and processing." The company operates in over 190 countries and generates roughly $85 billion in annual revenue, giving it massive scale in global commodity supply chains. Its size and its network of grain elevators, processing plants, and transportation infrastructure are its main competitive advantages. However, ADM faces real risks from thin margins, volatile commodity prices, and an ongoing accounting investigation into its nutrition segment that has already led to leadership changes and regulatory scrutiny.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

7 trades / 12mo

2 Congressional buys and 5 sells on ADM in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
8.5%
Thin — 8.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
4.0%
Thin — 4.0% operating margin
ROCE
2.8%
Weak — 2.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.8%
Shrinking sales (-0.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
+59.6%
Earnings growing fast (+59.6% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
158%
Turns 158% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
2.0%
Thin free cash flow (2.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.35
Conservative — low debt load (0.35)
Interest Cover
3.41x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.4x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
22.0x
Growth-priced — P/E 22.0

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+7.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (22.0 → 14.6)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.64%
Moderate income — 2.64% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+2.0%
Dividend flat

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