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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation

ACRE
24
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate
Price
$4.87
+0.16 (+3.40%)
Market Cap
$270.2M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
24
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 9, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Share count rising — dilution

+28.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 42.7M (2021) → 54.9M (2025)

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) is a real estate finance company that lends money to owners and developers of commercial properties. Instead of owning buildings directly, it makes loans secured by properties like office buildings, apartment complexes, hotels, and industrial facilities. It is managed by Ares Management, one of the largest alternative asset managers in the world, which gives it access to deal flow and resources most small lenders cannot match.

ACRE earns money primarily through interest income on the loans it originates and holds on its balance sheet, operating as a mortgage REIT. It focuses mainly on the United States, though it has some exposure to European markets. With a market cap around $200 million, it is a relatively small player in commercial real estate lending. The main risk the company faces is credit quality — if borrowers struggle to repay loans, especially in a stressed office or commercial property market, loan losses can quickly erode earnings and dividends.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+431.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

+140.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

2.0%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$18M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Strong grower

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation is growing revenue at 431% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
0.0%
Thin — 0.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
0.0%
Thin — 0.0% operating margin
ROCE
0.0%
Weak — 0.0% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+368.2%
Fast-growing sales (+368.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
13.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (13.9%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
0.75x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.8x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
14.09%
Healthy income — 14.09% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
-25.0%
Dividend cut (-25.0% YoY) — warning sign

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