Arko (ARKO) Stock Analysis & Winston Score

Arko Corp. operates convenience stores in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and GPM Petroleum. The Retail segment engages in the sale of fuel and merchandise to retail consumers. The Wholesale segment supplies fuel to third-party dealers and consignment agents. The GPM Petroleum segment supplies fuel to independent dealers, and bulk and spot purchasers. It operates approximately 3,000 locations comprising approximately 1,400 company-operated stores and app

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin

3.1%

Thin — 3.1% gross margin

Operating Margin

0.9%

Thin — 0.9% operating margin

ROCE

1.3%

Weak — 1.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

-10.6%

Shrinking sales (-10.6% YoY)

EPS YoY

+547.3%

Earnings growing fast (547.3% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency

6/8 quarters

Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

583%

Turns 583% of profit into real cash

FCF Margin

0.5%

Thin free cash flow (0.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

1.60

Elevated debt (1.60)

Interest Cover

1.53x

Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.5x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

40.2x

no trend

Pricey — P/E 40.2

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward

+17.9

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (40.2 → 22.3)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield

1.49%

no trend

Small dividend — 1.49% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth

+0.0%

no trend

Dividend flat

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