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ARMOUR Residential REIT

ARR
47
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate
Price
$16.61
-0.51 (-2.98%)
Market Cap
$2.06B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
47
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+486.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 16.1M (2021) → 94.3M (2025)

ARMOUR Residential REIT is a company that invests in home mortgage bonds, not physical houses. It buys mortgage-backed securities — bundles of home loans — that are guaranteed by U.S. government agencies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. This makes ARMOUR part of the mortgage REIT industry, which helps channel money into the U.S. housing market.

ARMOUR makes money by borrowing at short-term interest rates and using that money to buy mortgage bonds that pay higher long-term rates, keeping the difference as profit. It operates entirely in the United States and pays out most of its earnings to shareholders as dividends, which is required by law for REITs. The biggest risk ARMOUR faces is interest rate changes — when short-term rates rise faster than long-term rates, the gap it earns shrinks, which can pressure dividends and the value of its bond holdings.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

1 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 1 sell on ARR in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-84.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-253.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$21.2B cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

ARMOUR Residential REIT's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
78.2%
Premium pricing power — 78.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
72.6%
Excellent — 72.6% operating margin
ROCE
0.2%
Weak — 0.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+67.3%
Fast-growing sales (67.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
56%
Weak — only 56% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
13.5%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (13.5%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
7.90
Heavy debt load (7.90)
Interest Cover
1.23x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
8.6x
Attractive valuation — P/E 8.6

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+2.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
16.70%
Healthy income — 16.70% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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