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Asbury Automotive Group

ABG
40
Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$220.36
-6.30 (-2.78%)
Market Cap
$4.10B
Winston Score
40
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

3.0% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 20.1M (2021) → 19.5M (2025)

Asbury Automotive Group is one of the largest car dealership chains in the United States. It sells new and used cars, trucks, and SUVs from brands like Toyota, Honda, BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and General Motors. Everyday consumers are its main customers, and it also serves businesses that need fleet vehicles.

Asbury makes money several ways: selling vehicles, arranging financing and insurance for buyers, and running service and repair shops at its dealerships. It operates roughly 150 dealership locations across more than a dozen states, mostly in the South and Southeast. The company's scale gives it some purchasing leverage, but auto dealerships face thin margins and heavy competition from both rival chains and online car retailers like Carvana. The biggest risk Asbury faces is a slowdown in consumer spending — when interest rates are high and car loans become expensive, fewer people buy vehicles, which directly squeezes revenue and profits.

Winston Score History

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1 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 1 sell on ABG in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-0.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+46.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.9%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$25M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Asbury Automotive Group's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
17.1%
Thin — 17.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
4.7%
Thin — 4.7% operating margin
ROCE
2.1%
Weak — 2.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+4.8%
Slow sales growth (4.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
+34.0%
Earnings growing fast (34.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
190%
Turns 190% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
3.1%
Thin free cash flow (3.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.33
Elevated debt (1.33)
Interest Cover
3.28x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
7.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 7.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-0.1
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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