ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) logo

ASSA ABLOY AB (publ)

ASSA-B.ST
56
Security & Protection Services · Industrials
Price
kr 332.40
+6.50 (+1.99%)
Market Cap
kr 369.22B
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
56
Winston looking curious
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Winston Score between 40 and 70. The stock passes some quality checks but not all.

ASSA ABLOY makes locks, doors, and access control systems. Its products include everything from traditional door locks to electronic keycards, fingerprint readers, and smart entry systems used in homes, offices, hospitals, and hotels. The company is the largest lock manufacturer in the world and owns well-known brands like Yale, Abloy, and HID.

The company sells hardware, software, and credentials — such as keycards and mobile access passes — to construction companies, building owners, governments, and businesses. It operates in more than 70 countries and generates roughly half its revenue in the Americas and Europe combined, with a growing presence in Asia. Its main competitive advantage is its enormous brand portfolio and global distribution network, which are difficult for smaller rivals to replicate. The key growth driver is the ongoing shift from mechanical locks to electronic and cloud-connected access systems, though rising raw material costs and economic slowdowns in construction markets remain ongoing risks.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
43.2%
Healthy — 43.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
15.3%
Healthy — 15.3% operating margin
ROCE
3.2%
Weak — 3.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.8%
Shrinking sales (-1.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
+7.7%
Modest earnings growth (7.7% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
140%
Turns 140% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
13.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (13.1%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.55
Conservative — low debt load (0.55)
Interest Cover
7.73x
Adequate interest coverage (7.7x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
27.1x
Growth-priced — P/E 27.1

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+10.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (27.1 → 17.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.88%
Small dividend — 1.88% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+20.6%
Dividend growing fast (20.6% YoY)

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