ATCO logo

ATCO

ACO-X.TO
47
Diversified Utilities · Utilities
Price
C$72.30
-0.33 (-0.45%)
Market Cap
C$7.30B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
47
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Winston Score between 40 and 70. The stock passes some quality checks but not all.

ATCO Ltd. is a Canadian company that builds and runs essential infrastructure that people and businesses depend on every day. Its main businesses include natural gas and electricity distribution, pipelines, and modular structures — which are portable buildings used at remote work sites like mines and construction camps. The company is based in Calgary, Alberta, and operates primarily through its subsidiary Canadian Utilities, one of Canada's largest regulated utility companies.

ATCO earns most of its money from regulated utilities, meaning government agencies set the rates it can charge customers, which creates steady and predictable revenue. It operates mainly in Canada, with some international presence in Australia and other markets. Its regulated business model is a key competitive advantage because it limits competition and provides reliable cash flows. The main risk ATCO faces is the long-term decline in natural gas demand as governments and consumers shift toward cleaner energy sources, which could pressure the value of its gas distribution assets over time.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+1.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+5.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

27.8%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$722M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Winston looking curious
Growth context

ATCO is growing revenue at 1% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
41.5%
Healthy — 41.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
28.1%
Excellent — 28.1% operating margin
ROCE
2.3%
Weak — 2.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+2.6%
Nearly flat sales (2.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
-62.9%
Earnings shrinking (-62.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
1203%
Turns 1203% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
5.1%
Thin free cash flow (5.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.77
Heavy debt load (2.77)
Interest Cover
1.16x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
42.2x
Pricey — P/E 42.2

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+27.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (42.2 → 15.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.84%
Moderate income — 2.84% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+3.0%
Dividend growing modestly (3.0% YoY)

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