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ATI

ATI
44
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication · Industrials
Price
$186.17
+0.66 (+0.36%)
Market Cap
$25.41B
Winston Score
44
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+11.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 127.1M (2021) → 141.8M (2025)

ATI Inc. makes specialty metals and advanced alloys used in demanding applications like jet engines, aerospace structures, and defense systems. Its core products include titanium, nickel-based superalloys, and specialty steel components, sold mainly to commercial airlines, defense contractors, and industrial manufacturers. ATI is one of the largest producers of specialty titanium and nickel alloys in the United States.

ATI earns revenue by selling engineered metal products and long-term supply agreements with aerospace and defense customers, giving it relatively predictable order flow. The company operates primarily in the United States, with some international sales, and generates roughly several billion dollars in annual revenue. Its competitive position comes from technical expertise in difficult-to-produce alloys and deep relationships with major aerospace manufacturers like Boeing and Raytheon. The key growth driver is the ongoing recovery and expansion of commercial aerospace production, but the main risk is customer concentration — a slowdown in aircraft orders could meaningfully reduce demand for ATI's products.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+0.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+27.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$21M/ year

Flat (-4% vs prior year)

0.5% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Steady R&D investment year-over-year

Insider Activity

1.1%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$402M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

ATI is growing revenue at 1% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
22.8%
Thin — 22.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
14.8%
Healthy — 14.8% operating margin
ROCE
4.7%
Weak — 4.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+2.9%
Nearly flat sales (2.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
+5.1%
Modest earnings growth (5.1% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
196%
Turns 196% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
12.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (12.0%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.03
Elevated debt (1.03)
Interest Cover
6.69x
Adequate interest coverage (6.7x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
60.1x
Expensive — P/E 60.1

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+27.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (60.1 → 32.2)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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