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AutoNation

AN
39
Auto - Dealerships · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$205.72
-3.28 (-1.57%)
Market Cap
$6.88B
Winston Score
39
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

49.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 75.0M (2021) → 38.1M (2025)

AutoNation is one of the largest car dealerships in the United States. It sells new and used cars, trucks, and SUVs from brands like Ford, Toyota, BMW, and Honda at hundreds of locations across the country. Customers are everyday people buying or leasing vehicles for personal use.

AutoNation makes money several ways: selling vehicles, arranging financing and insurance for buyers, and servicing cars in its repair shops. Those service and finance fees tend to be more profitable than the vehicle sales themselves. The company operates mostly in Sun Belt states like Florida, Texas, and California, and its scale gives it some negotiating power with manufacturers. The biggest risk it faces is that car buying is sensitive to interest rates — when rates are high, monthly payments rise and fewer people purchase vehicles, which can quickly squeeze sales and profits.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-2.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+31.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

28.1%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Runway

~11 months

$120M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

AutoNation has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
17.5%
Thin — 17.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
4.8%
Thin — 4.8% operating margin
ROCE
2.6%
Weak — 2.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+1.9%
Nearly flat sales (1.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
+9.3%
Earnings growing (9.3% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
27%
Weak — only 27% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
-0.4%
Burning cash (-0.4%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
4.52
Heavy debt load (4.52)
Interest Cover
3.54x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.5x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.0x
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+4.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (11.0 → 6.9)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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