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Avista Corporation

AVA
47
Diversified Utilities · Utilities
Price
$41.80
-0.51 (-1.21%)
Market Cap
$3.45B
Winston Score
47
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+15.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 70.1M (2021) → 81.1M (2025)

Avista Corporation is a utility company that delivers electricity and natural gas to homes and businesses in the Pacific Northwest. It owns power plants, electric lines, and gas pipelines that serve roughly 400,000 electric customers and 370,000 natural gas customers across Washington, Idaho, Oregon, and Montana. Avista also has a small subsidiary called Alaska Energy and Resources Company that provides utility services in Juneau, Alaska.

Avista makes money by charging customers regulated rates for electricity and natural gas delivery, with those rates set and approved by state regulators. This regulated model provides steady, predictable revenue, which is typical for utilities, but it also limits how much profit the company can earn. Avista operates almost entirely in the western United States and its main competitive advantage is its government-approved monopoly in its service territory. The key risk is that rising costs to upgrade aging infrastructure may outpace the rate increases regulators allow the company to collect from customers.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

2 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 2 sells on AVA in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
63.9%
Premium pricing power — 63.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
23.5%
Excellent — 23.5% operating margin
ROCE
2.2%
Weak — 2.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-1.5%
Shrinking sales (-1.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
+7.7%
Modest earnings growth (7.7% YoY)

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
225%
Turns 225% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
-17.8%
Burning cash (-17.8%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.15
Elevated debt (1.15)
Interest Cover
2.44x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.4x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.6x
Fair value — P/E 16.6

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+2.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.70%
Healthy income — 4.70% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+1.8%
Dividend flat

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