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Ball Corporation

BALL
46
Packaging & Containers · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$62.71
-0.44 (-0.70%)
Market Cap
$16.70B
Winston Score
46
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count falling — buybacks

16.8% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 331.6M (2021) → 276.0M (2025)

Ball Corporation makes aluminum cans and other metal packaging. Most people have held one of their cans without knowing it — Ball supplies the metal cans used by major beverage companies like Coca-Cola, Anheuser-Busch, and countless craft brewers. It is one of the largest aluminum can manufacturers in the world.

Ball earns money by selling cans and other aluminum packaging to beverage and food companies under long-term supply contracts. The company operates across North America, Europe, and South America, generating roughly $12–13 billion in annual revenue. Its scale and long-term customer contracts give it a cost advantage over smaller rivals, but Ball is exposed to aluminum price swings and must pass those costs through to customers. The key growth driver is the ongoing shift from plastic bottles to aluminum cans, as brands and consumers look for more recyclable packaging options — though rising input costs and slowing beverage volumes remain the main risks to watch.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

2 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 1 sell on BALL in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+16.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+22.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.4%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~2 months

$730M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Ball Corporation has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
17.9%
Thin — 17.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
9.4%
Modest — 9.4% operating margin
ROCE
2.5%
Weak — 2.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+13.3%
Fast-growing sales (13.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
+107.1%
Earnings growing fast (107.1% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
123%
Turns 123% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
4.4%
Thin free cash flow (4.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.39
Elevated debt (1.39)
Interest Cover
3.89x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.9x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
18.0x
Fair value — P/E 18.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+2.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.26%
Small dividend — 1.26% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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