WinstonWınston
Bavarian Nordic A/S logo

Bavarian Nordic A/S

BAVA.CO
46
Biotechnology · Healthcare
Price
kr 176.40
+1.40 (+0.80%)
Market Cap
kr 13.35B
Exchange
NASDAQ Copenhagen
Winston Score
46
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 9, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026

Share count rising — dilution

+23.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 63.1M (2021) → 78.0M (2025)

Bavarian Nordic is a Danish biotechnology company that makes vaccines to protect people from serious infectious diseases. Its most important product is Jynneos, a vaccine approved to prevent both mpox (monkeypox) and smallpox, making it the only approved non-replicating smallpox vaccine in the world. The company also sells travel vaccines, including shots for rabies, cholera, and typhoid fever, after acquiring that portfolio from Emergent BioSolutions.

Bavarian Nordic earns money by selling vaccines to governments, public health agencies, and travelers through clinics and pharmacies. It operates primarily in Europe and North America, and its government stockpiling contracts — especially with the U.S. and European health authorities — provide a relatively stable revenue base. The company's main growth driver is continued global demand for mpox vaccines, but its biggest risk is that government procurement orders can be unpredictable, causing revenue to swing sharply from year to year depending on outbreak severity and policy decisions.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
44.9%
Healthy — 44.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
-0.6%
Losing money on operations — -0.6%
ROCE
-0.0%
Weak — -0.0% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Growth

Sales YoY
-5.0%
Shrinking sales (-5.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
-12.8%
Earnings shrinking (-12.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
201%
Turns 201% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
23.2%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (23.2%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Stability

Debt / Equity
0.00
Conservative — low debt load (0.00)
Interest Cover
128.19x
Comfortably covers interest (128.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
12.1x
Attractive valuation — P/E 12.1

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
-2.1
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
🔒 See full fundamentals and if they are improving or declining — click here for your free trial now.
Start free trial