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BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings

BJ
36
Discount Stores · Consumer Defensive
Price
$93.40
+0.33 (+0.35%)
Market Cap
$11.93B
Winston Score
36
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count falling — buybacks

4.3% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 138.0M (2022) → 132.1M (2026)

BJ's Wholesale Club is a membership-based warehouse retailer that sells groceries, household goods, electronics, and clothing in bulk at discounted prices. Its customers are everyday shoppers who pay an annual fee to access lower prices on large quantities of products. BJ's operates primarily in the eastern United States and competes directly with Costco and Sam's Club.

The company makes money two ways: selling merchandise and collecting annual membership fees from its roughly 7 million members. Membership fees are a small but highly profitable revenue stream that helps fund the low prices on products. BJ's has about 240 warehouse clubs concentrated along the East Coast, which gives it a regional density advantage but also limits its geographic reach compared to larger rivals. The key growth driver is expanding its store count into new markets, while the main risk is intense competition from Costco, which has stronger brand loyalty and a larger international scale.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

13 trades / 12mo

4 Congressional buys and 9 sells on BJ in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+5.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+4.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.5%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$46M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings is growing revenue at 6% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
18.1%
Thin — 18.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
3.4%
Thin — 3.4% operating margin
ROCE
6.5%
Weak — 6.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+3.7%
Slow sales growth (3.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
-6.9%
Earnings shrinking (-6.9% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
198%
Turns 198% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
1.8%
Thin free cash flow (1.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.33
Conservative — low debt load (0.33)
Interest Cover
19.02x
Comfortably covers interest (19.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
22.2x
Growth-priced — P/E 22.2

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+5.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (22.2 → 16.6)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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