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Blue Owl Capital Corporation

OBDC
55
Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services
Price
$10.99
-0.20 (-1.79%)
Market Cap
$5.45B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
55
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+29.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 392.3M (2021) → 506.1M (2025)

Blue Owl Capital Corporation is a business development company (BDC) that lends money to mid-sized private businesses that cannot easily borrow from traditional banks or issue public bonds. Its main product is direct loans — mostly senior secured debt — made to private equity-backed companies across industries like software, healthcare, and business services. It is one of the largest publicly traded BDCs in the United States.

The company makes money by collecting interest on its loan portfolio, which totaled roughly $13 billion in assets as of recent filings. It operates almost entirely in the United States and is externally managed by Blue Owl Capital, a large alternative asset manager, which gives it access to a wide deal pipeline but also means management fees flow out to the parent firm. The key growth driver is continued demand for private credit as companies bypass traditional banks, but the main risk is rising loan defaults if the economy weakens and borrowers struggle to repay their floating-rate debt.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-22.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-110.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.0%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

5+ years

$15.4B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Blue Owl Capital Corporation's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
70.1%
Premium pricing power — 70.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
36.0%
Excellent — 36.0% operating margin
ROCE
0.7%
Weak — 0.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+9.9%
Steady sales growth (9.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
-54.8%
Earnings shrinking (-54.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
299%
Turns 299% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
82.2%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (82.2%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.18
Elevated debt (1.18)
Interest Cover
1.17x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.7x
Fair value — P/E 15.7

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+7.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (15.7 → 8.4)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
13.33%
Healthy income — 13.33% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+84.4%
Dividend growing fast (84.4% YoY)

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