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Blue Owl Capital

OWL
58
Asset Management · Financial Services
Price
$9.52
-0.10 (-1.04%)
Market Cap
$14.88B
Winston Score
58
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+64.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 404.9M (2021) → 664.8M (2025)

Blue Owl Capital is an asset management firm that raises money from large investors — like pension funds, insurance companies, and wealthy individuals — and puts that money to work in private markets. It focuses on three main areas: lending money directly to companies (direct lending), investing in other asset managers (GP strategic capital), and owning real estate and other hard assets. Blue Owl does not run public stock or bond funds; it sticks entirely to private, alternative investments.

Blue Owl earns money mainly through management fees, which are paid as a percentage of the assets it oversees. It manages roughly $235 billion in assets and operates primarily in the United States, with a growing presence in Europe and Asia. Its competitive edge comes from a large share of permanent capital, meaning investors cannot easily pull their money out, which makes revenue more stable than at traditional fund managers. The key growth driver is rising demand from individual investors for private credit products, though tighter credit conditions or a slowdown in deal activity could pressure fee growth.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

9 trades / 12mo

8 Congressional buys and 1 sell on OWL in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+10.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+128.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

60.1%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$190M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Blue Owl Capital is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 10%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Gross Margin
87.9%
Premium pricing power — 87.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
14.4%
Healthy — 14.4% operating margin
ROCE
1.8%
Weak — 1.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+19.3%
Fast-growing sales (19.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
-21.8%
Earnings shrinking (-21.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
1543%
Turns 1543% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
43.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (43.6%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.82
Elevated debt (1.82)
Interest Cover
3.90x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.9x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
73.5x
Expensive — P/E 73.5

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+64.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (73.5 → 9.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
10.16%
Healthy income — 10.16% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend Growth
+18.3%
Dividend growing fast (18.3% YoY)

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