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Boise Cascade Company

BCC
32
Construction Materials · Basic Materials
Winston Score
32
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Boise Cascade is one of the largest wood products companies in the United States. It makes engineered wood products — like beams, joists, and panels — and also distributes a wide range of building materials to contractors and lumber dealers. The company sells to homebuilders, construction companies, and building supply dealers across North America.

Boise Cascade makes money two ways: manufacturing wood products in its own mills, and buying and reselling building materials through its distribution network. The distribution segment is the larger of the two by revenue. The company operates primarily in the U.S. and has a broad distribution footprint that gives it a logistical edge over smaller regional competitors. Its biggest risk is its heavy exposure to the housing market — when interest rates rise and new home construction slows, demand for its products drops quickly, which helps explain the currently thin operating margins.

Winston Score History

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4 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 3 sells on BCC in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
16.3%
Thin — 16.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
1.9%
Thin — 1.9% operating margin
ROCE
1.1%
Weak — 1.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-3.8%
Shrinking sales (-3.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
-62.9%
Earnings shrinking (-62.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
242%
Turns 242% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
0.6%
Thin free cash flow (0.6%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.23
Conservative — low debt load (0.23)
Interest Cover
7.12x
Adequate interest coverage (7.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
25.1x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 25.1

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+4.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (25.1 → 21.0)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.16%
no trend
Small dividend — 1.16% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
-84.9%
no trend
Dividend cut (-84.9% YoY) — warning sign

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