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Brookdale Senior Living

BKD
15
Medical - Care Facilities · Healthcare
Winston Score
15
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.

Brookdale Senior Living runs a network of communities where older adults can live and receive help with daily tasks like meals, bathing, and medication. The company offers independent living, assisted living, and memory care services, primarily serving seniors and their families across the United States. It is one of the largest senior living operators in the country, with hundreds of communities spread across dozens of states.

Brookdale makes money by charging residents monthly fees for housing and care services, with pricing varying based on the level of support each resident needs. The company operates entirely in the United States and competes in a fragmented industry alongside both large national operators and many smaller local providers. Its thin operating margins reflect high labor and facility costs, which are ongoing pressures. The key growth driver is the aging U.S. population, as the number of Americans over 80 is expected to grow significantly in coming decades, but rising staffing costs and occupancy challenges remain the central risks to profitability.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-2.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+89.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

1.4%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~3 years

$265M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$265M cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Brookdale Senior Living's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
3.3%
Thin — 3.3% gross margin
Operating Margin
7.2%
Modest — 7.2% operating margin
ROCE
1.3%
Weak — 1.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+3.1%
Slow sales growth (3.1% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
FCF Margin
0.3%
Thin free cash flow (0.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Interest Cover
0.17x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.2x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
no trend
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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