BT Group logo

BT Group

BT-A.L
39
Telecommunications Services · Communication Services
Price
209.50 GBp
+3.40 (+1.65%)
Market Cap
£20.41B
Exchange
London Stock Exchange
Winston Score
39
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Winston Score below 40. The stock fails on most of our quality checks.

BT Group is the largest telecommunications company in the United Kingdom. It provides broadband internet, mobile phone service, and home phone connections to millions of households and businesses across the UK. Its most recognized brands include EE, the UK's biggest mobile network, and Openreach, which owns and operates the physical cables and telephone lines that connect most of Britain's homes and offices.

BT makes money by charging customers monthly fees for internet, phone, and TV packages, as well as selling services to businesses and other telecoms companies that use the Openreach network. It operates almost entirely in the UK and generates roughly £20 billion in annual revenue. Openreach's ownership of the UK's broadband infrastructure gives BT a structural advantage, but the company carries a heavy debt load and faces a costly, multi-year program to replace its copper network with full-fibre broadband — a project that requires billions in ongoing investment before it delivers meaningful returns.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-1.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

>+1,000% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (12%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

48.3%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$183M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Winston looking concerned
Revenue declining

BT Group's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
46.8%
Healthy — 46.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
9.5%
Modest — 9.5% operating margin
ROCE
1.5%
Weak — 1.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-0.2%
Shrinking sales (-0.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
-50.2%
Earnings shrinking (-50.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
1070%
Turns 1070% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
11.4%
Modest free cash flow (11.4%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.45
Elevated debt (1.45)
Interest Cover
2.82x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.8x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
71.9x
Expensive — P/E 71.9

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
-1018.4
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.07%
Healthy income — 4.07% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
-32.0%
Dividend cut (-32.0% YoY) — warning sign

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