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Burlington Stores

BURL
56
Apparel - Retail · Consumer Cyclical
Winston Score
56
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Burlington Stores runs a chain of off-price retail stores across the United States. It sells clothing, shoes, home goods, and accessories at prices well below what traditional department stores charge. The company buys excess inventory and overstock from brands and manufacturers, then passes those savings on to shoppers looking for deals.

Burlington makes money by selling products directly to consumers in its physical stores. It operates roughly 1,000 locations across the U.S. and Puerto Rico, competing mainly against TJX Companies (TJ Maxx, Marshalls) and Ross Stores. Its competitive edge comes from its ability to source discounted merchandise and keep operating costs lean, though it is smaller than both main rivals. The key growth driver is store expansion — Burlington has identified room to roughly double its store count over time — but its margins remain thinner than competitors, meaning any misstep in inventory buying or consumer spending slowdowns could pressure profitability.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+11.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+20.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

Insider Activity

0.7%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~5 years

$1.2B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$1.2B cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

Burlington Stores is growing revenue at 11% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
40.1%
Healthy — 40.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
11.3%
Modest — 11.3% operating margin
ROCE
9.5%
Below par — 9.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+16.2%
Fast-growing sales (16.2% YoY)
EPS YoY
+54.6%
Earnings growing fast (54.6% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
234%
Turns 234% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
-2.7%
Burning cash (-2.7%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.39
Elevated debt (1.39)
Interest Cover
15.61x
Comfortably covers interest (15.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
33.6x
no trend
Pricey — P/E 33.6

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
+10.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (33.6 → 22.8)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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