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Canada Goose Holdings

GOOS
45
Apparel - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$9.12
+0.23 (+2.59%)
Market Cap
$885.1M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
45
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Jul 28, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026

Share count falling — buybacks

9.3% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 109.2M (2022) → 99.0M (2026)

Canada Goose makes high-end winter jackets, parkas, and outerwear. The company sells directly to consumers through its own stores and website, and also through select retail partners. It is a Canadian brand known for its distinctive Arctic Program patch and premium price points, typically targeting affluent shoppers willing to pay $500–$1,500 or more for a single coat.

Canada Goose earns revenue through direct-to-consumer sales in its own retail stores and e-commerce, plus a smaller wholesale channel. It operates globally, with a significant presence in Canada, the US, Europe, and especially China, which has become a key growth market. The brand's moat is its luxury reputation and recognizable logo, but this also creates risk — consumer spending on expensive discretionary items like premium outerwear tends to drop sharply during economic slowdowns, and the company's heavy reliance on China exposes it to shifts in that market's consumer confidence and geopolitical tensions.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+18.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+3.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

0.7%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$425M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Canada Goose Holdings is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 18%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
61.8%
Premium pricing power — 61.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
14.3%
Healthy — 14.3% operating margin
ROCE
5.8%
Weak — 5.8% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+13.4%
Fast-growing sales (13.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
-76.4%
Earnings shrinking (-76.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
708%
Turns 708% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
7.6%
Modest free cash flow (7.6%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.83
Moderate — manageable debt (0.83)
Interest Cover
2.24x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
39.7x
Pricey — P/E 39.7

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+30.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (39.7 → 8.9)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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