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Canadian Pacific Kansas City

CP
64
Railroads · Industrials
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
64
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) is a railroad company that moves freight across North America by train. It hauls goods like grain, potash, oil, cars, and consumer products for farmers, manufacturers, and retailers. It is the only single-line railroad connecting Canada, the United States, and Mexico, a network it built by merging Canadian Pacific with Kansas City Southern in 2023.

CPKC earns money by charging customers to ship freight along its roughly 20,000-mile rail network. Its unique three-country reach gives it a structural advantage over competitors, since shippers moving goods under the USMCA trade agreement can use one railroad instead of transferring cargo between multiple carriers. The biggest growth driver is capturing new cross-border traffic between Mexico and Canada, but the main risk is that trade policy changes — such as new tariffs or renegotiation of USMCA — could reduce the volume of goods flowing across the borders its network depends on.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

6 trades / 12mo

5 Congressional buys and 1 sell on CP in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+36.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+33.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

5.4%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$896M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Canadian Pacific Kansas City grew revenue 36% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
34.0%
Modest — 34.0% gross margin
Operating Margin
34.0%
Excellent — 34.0% operating margin
ROCE
2.5%
Weak — 2.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+11.0%
Steady sales growth (11.0% YoY)
EPS YoY
+17.1%
Earnings growing fast (17.1% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
116%
Turns 116% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
12.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (12.4%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.52
Conservative — low debt load (0.52)
Interest Cover
6.18x
Adequate interest coverage (6.2x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
18.8x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 18.8

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+6.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (18.8 → 12.7)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
0.77%
no trend
Small dividend — 0.77% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+19.3%
no trend
Dividend growing fast (19.3% YoY)

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