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Capital One Financial Corporation

COF
49
Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Capital One is a bank that specializes in credit cards, auto loans, and basic banking accounts like checking and savings. It serves everyday consumers and small businesses across the United States, and it is one of the largest credit card issuers in the country. The company owns well-known card brands and is recognized for its heavy use of data and technology to decide who gets approved for credit.

Capital One makes money primarily by charging interest on credit card balances and loans, plus fees on its banking products. It operates mainly in the United States, with some presence in Canada and the United Kingdom, and reported a market cap near $117 billion. Its main competitive edge is its data-driven approach to credit risk, which helps it target customers more precisely than traditional banks. A key risk is that if the economy weakens and more borrowers stop repaying their debts, loan losses could rise sharply and hurt profits.

Winston Score History

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+44.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-3.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

1.1%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$76.5B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Capital One Financial Corporation grew revenue 44% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
57.8%
Premium pricing power — 57.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
14.0%
Healthy — 14.0% operating margin
ROCE
1.7%
Weak — 1.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+38.5%
Fast-growing sales (38.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
-76.1%
Earnings shrinking (-76.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
902%
Turns 902% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
35.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (35.4%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.45
Conservative — low debt load (0.45)
Interest Cover
0.20x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.2x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
71.2x
no trend
Expensive — P/E 71.2

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+62.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (71.2 → 8.4)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
1.48%
no trend
Small dividend — 1.48% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend Growth
+25.0%
no trend
Dividend growing fast (25.0% YoY)

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