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Capital Power Corporation

CPXWF
31
Independent Power Producers · Utilities
Price
$46.17
+0.10 (+0.22%)
Market Cap
$7.25B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
31
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 9, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

Share count rising — dilution

+33.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 112.8M (2021) → 150.8M (2025)

Capital Power Corporation is a Canadian electricity company that builds and operates power plants. It generates electricity from natural gas, wind, and solar energy, then sells that power to utilities, businesses, and electricity grids across Canada and the United States. It is one of the larger independent power producers in North America, with a significant presence in Alberta's deregulated electricity market.

Capital Power makes money by selling electricity under long-term contracts and in open energy markets, which gives it a mix of stable and variable revenue. The company operates dozens of facilities across Canada and several U.S. states, with a total generating capacity of several thousand megawatts. Its long-term power purchase agreements provide some protection against price swings, but the negative operating margins in recent periods reflect the capital-heavy nature of the business and ongoing investment costs. The key growth driver is its pipeline of renewable energy projects, while rising interest rates and fuel cost volatility remain the main financial risks.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+62.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+64.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.1%ownership

Relatively low insider ownership

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$1.7B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue accelerating

Capital Power Corporation grew revenue 63% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
18.5%
Thin — 18.5% gross margin
Operating Margin
9.3%
Modest — 9.3% operating margin
ROCE
0.6%
Weak — 0.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+11.3%
Steady sales growth (+11.3% YoY)
EPS YoY
-83.6%
Earnings shrinking (-83.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
978%
Turns 978% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
5.1%
Thin free cash flow (5.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.47
Elevated debt (1.47)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
88.0x
Expensive — P/E 88.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
+75.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (88.0 → 12.9)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.11%
Healthy income — 4.11% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
+5.6%
Dividend growing modestly (5.6% YoY)

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