CareDx

CDNA

Medical - Diagnostics & Research · Healthcare

Price

$39.73

-0.61 (-1.51%)

Market Cap

$2.05B

Exchange

NASDAQ

Winston Score

Winston is serious

Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Share count rising — dilution

+2.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 52.2M (2021) → 53.3M (2025)

CareDx, Inc. discovers, develops, and commercializes diagnostic solutions for transplant patients and caregivers worldwide. It provides AlloSure Kidney, a donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) solution for kidney transplant patients; AlloMap Heart, a gene expression solution for heart transplant patients; AlloSure Heart, a dd-cfDNA solution for heart transplant patients; and AlloSure Lung, a dd-cfDNA solution for lung transplant patients. The company also offers TruSight HLA, a next generation

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+39.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+126.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$71M/ year

→ Flat (-1% vs prior year)

18.8% of revenue

In line with sector average (18%)

Steady R&D investment year-over-year

Insider Activity

4.6%ownership

→ Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$78M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

CareDx grew revenue 39% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin

71.4%

Premium pricing power — 71.4% gross margin

Operating Margin

1.5%

Thin — 1.5% operating margin

ROCE

0.5%

Weak — 0.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY

+19.2%

Fast-growing sales (19.2% YoY)

EPS YoY

-113.2%

Earnings shrinking (-113.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion

N/A

Data not available

FCF Margin

15.8%

Converts sales into free cash efficiently (15.8%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

Debt / Equity

0.06

Conservative — low debt load (0.06)

Interest Cover

N/A

—

Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/M

Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful

P/E vs Forward

N/A

not available

Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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