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Carvana

CVNA
59
Auto - Dealerships · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$67.36
-3.30 (-4.67%)
Market Cap
$73.88B
Winston Score
59
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count rising — dilution

+170.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 414.0M (2021) → 1.12B (2025)

Carvana is an online used car dealer that lets people buy, sell, and finance a used vehicle entirely over the internet — no traditional dealership visit required. Customers browse millions of listings on Carvana's website, get financing approved online, and have the car delivered to their door or pick it up from one of the company's signature multi-story glass "car vending machines." It operates across the United States and competes against traditional dealerships as well as other online platforms like CarMax and Vroom.

Carvana makes money by selling used cars directly to consumers, offering financing and warranties, and buying cars from customers to resell. The company grew very fast but took on heavy debt doing so, and its negative ROIC reflects how costly that expansion has been. Carvana has recently focused on cutting costs and returning to profitability, but its large debt load remains a significant financial risk that investors watch closely.

Winston Score History

Politician Trades

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12 Congressional buys and 8 sells on CVNA in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+52.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+8.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

8.7%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$2.4B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Carvana grew revenue 52% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Gross Margin
19.8%
Thin — 19.8% gross margin
Operating Margin
9.0%
Modest — 9.0% operating margin
ROCE
13.4%
Good — 13.4% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+51.7%
Fast-growing sales (51.7% YoY)
EPS YoY
+346.7%
Earnings growing fast (346.7% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
57%
Weak — only 57% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
3.3%
Thin free cash flow (3.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.17
Conservative — low debt load (0.17)
Interest Cover
4.45x
Adequate interest coverage (4.5x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
4.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 4.9

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
-18.1
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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