Catella AB (publ) logo

Catella AB (publ)

CAT-A.ST
38
Real Estate - Services · Real Estate
Price
kr 21.60
+1.80 (+9.09%)
Market Cap
kr 1.91B
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
38
Winston looking serious
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Winston Score below 40. The stock fails on most of our quality checks.

Catella AB is a Swedish financial services company that focuses on real estate. It helps clients buy, sell, and manage property across Europe, and also runs investment funds that own real estate assets. Its main customers are institutional investors, such as pension funds and insurance companies, as well as wealthy individuals looking to invest in property.

Catella makes money in two main ways: fees from advising on property transactions and fees from managing real estate funds on behalf of investors. The company operates primarily across Europe, with a strong presence in Sweden, Germany, France, and the Nordic region. Its edge comes from combining transaction advisory with asset management under one roof, which keeps clients engaged across multiple services. The key growth driver is rising demand from institutional investors for professionally managed real estate funds, though the business faces real risk from higher interest rates, which tend to slow property transactions and reduce real estate valuations across its markets.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-6.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+72.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

52.0%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~4 years

$1.5B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$1.5B cash & investments at current burn rate

Winston looking concerned
Revenue declining

Catella AB (publ)'s revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
51.2%
Healthy — 51.2% gross margin
Operating Margin
-15.2%
Losing money on operations — -15.2%
ROCE
-1.4%
Weak — -1.4% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-6.9%
Shrinking sales (-6.9% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
594%
Turns 594% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
53.2%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (53.2%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.76
Moderate — manageable debt (0.76)
Interest Cover
3.89x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.9x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio
37.3x
Pricey — P/E 37.3

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
-6.3
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
4.36%
Healthy income — 4.36% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
-4.9%
Dividend cut (-4.9% YoY) — warning sign

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