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Cenovus Energy

CVE
60
Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy
Price
$27.95
+0.72 (+2.64%)
Market Cap
$52.12B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
60
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.

Share count falling — buybacks

11.0% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 2.05B (2021) → 1.82B (2025)

Cenovus Energy is a Canadian oil and gas company that pulls oil out of the ground, refines it into fuels like gasoline and diesel, and sells those products to customers across North America. Its core operations include oil sands mining in Alberta, conventional oil and natural gas production, and a large network of refineries in Canada and the United States. It is one of Canada's largest integrated energy companies, owning well-known refining assets acquired through its 2021 merger with Husky Energy.

Cenovus makes money by selling crude oil, refined petroleum products, and natural gas to industrial buyers, fuel distributors, and wholesale markets. It operates primarily in Canada and the United States, generating roughly $50 billion in annual revenue at scale. Its oil sands assets are difficult and expensive for competitors to replicate, which provides some long-term production stability. However, the company carries meaningful debt from the Husky acquisition, and its profits are heavily tied to global oil prices, which can swing sharply.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
21.9%
Thin — 21.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
18.6%
Healthy — 18.6% operating margin
ROCE
5.3%
Weak — 5.3% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-16.4%
Shrinking sales (-16.4% YoY)
EPS YoY
+70.4%
Earnings growing fast (70.4% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
196%
Turns 196% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
8.8%
Modest free cash flow (8.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.34
Conservative — low debt load (0.34)
Interest Cover
13.58x
Comfortably covers interest (13.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.0x
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

P/E vs Forward
+4.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (11.0 → 6.3)

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
2.33%
Moderate income — 2.33% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend Growth
+11.6%
Dividend growing fast (11.6% YoY)

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