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Centrus Energy

LEU
29
Uranium · Energy
Winston Score
29
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.

Centrus Energy Corp. helps power nuclear reactors by supplying enriched uranium fuel. Enriched uranium is the material that nuclear power plants need to generate electricity, and Centrus sells it to utility companies that run those plants across the United States and other countries. The company is one of the very few American businesses licensed to produce a special advanced fuel called High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium, or HALEU, which next-generation reactors will require.

Centrus makes money by selling and reselling enriched uranium, and it also earns revenue from technical services related to uranium enrichment. Most of its business is in the United States, though it serves some international customers as well. Its main competitive edge comes from being one of the only U.S.-licensed HALEU producers, which gives it a rare position as the country tries to reduce dependence on Russian uranium supplies. The biggest growth driver is demand for HALEU from advanced reactor developers, but the company faces real risk from its still-limited production capacity and reliance on government contracts.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-3.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-70.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

3.4%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~8 years

$2.0B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$2.0B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Centrus Energy's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
23.9%
Thin — 23.9% gross margin
Operating Margin
8.8%
Modest — 8.8% operating margin
ROCE
0.6%
Weak — 0.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+1.5%
Nearly flat sales (1.5% YoY)
EPS YoY
-0.9%
Earnings shrinking (-0.9% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
66%
Modest — 66% of profit becomes cash
FCF Margin
7.0%
Modest free cash flow (7.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
1.59
Elevated debt (1.59)
Interest Cover
3.59x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.6x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
33.3x
no trend
Pricey — P/E 33.3

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

P/E vs Forward
-64.2
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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