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Cerebras Systems

CBRS
40
Semiconductors · Technology
Price
$172.86
-7.60 (-4.21%)
Market Cap
$39.16B
Exchange
NASDAQ Global Market
Winston Score
40
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Share count rising — dilution

+3.7% over 3y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 207.5M (2022) → 215.2M (2025)

Cerebras Systems makes specialized computer chips designed specifically to train and run artificial intelligence programs. Its flagship product is the Wafer-Scale Engine, which is an unusually large chip — far bigger than chips made by competitors like Nvidia — built to handle the massive math required by AI models. The company sells its chips and cloud-based AI computing services mainly to research institutions, governments, and large enterprises building AI systems.

Cerebras earns revenue by selling its hardware systems and offering access to its chips through a cloud service, where customers pay to use the computing power without buying the hardware outright. The company operates primarily in the United States but has pursued international government contracts, including a notable deal in the Middle East. At a $52 billion market cap, it remains unprofitable with a -28.6% operating margin, meaning it spends significantly more than it earns. The key risk is that Nvidia dominates the AI chip market with deep customer relationships and a mature software ecosystem that is difficult to displace.

Winston Score History

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+94.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

-100.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$243M/ year

Rising (+54% vs prior year)

47.7% of revenue

3.2x the sector average (15%)

Investing heavily in future products and technology

Insider Activity

92.5%ownership

Flat

Insiders holding steady — not selling despite ability to

Cash Runway

~8 years

$3.7B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$3.7B cash & investments at current burn rate

Strong grower

Cerebras Systems is growing revenue at 94% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
44.6%
Healthy — 44.6% gross margin
Operating Margin
-7.8%
Losing money on operations — -7.8%
ROCE
-0.4%
Weak — -0.4% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales YoY
+87.8%
Fast-growing sales (87.8% YoY)
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
117%
Turns 117% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
24.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (24.0%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
0.38
Conservative — low debt load (0.38)
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
172.9x
Expensive — P/E 172.9

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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