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China Railway Group Limited

601390.SS
33
Engineering & Construction · Industrials
Price
¥4.52
-0.08 (-1.74%)
Market Cap
¥111.55B
Exchange
Shanghai Stock Exchange
Winston Score
33
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Jul 25, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026

Share count rising — dilution

+9.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 24.57B (2021) → 26.99B (2025)

China Railway Group Limited is one of the largest construction and engineering companies in the world. It builds railroads, highways, bridges, tunnels, and urban subway systems, mostly for government clients in China. The company also makes heavy equipment, provides real estate development services, and supplies materials like steel and concrete for its own projects.

The company earns money primarily through construction contracts, with additional revenue from equipment manufacturing and property development. Nearly all of its work is in China, though it has expanded into overseas markets across Africa, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East. Its main competitive advantage is its deep relationship with the Chinese government, which funds massive infrastructure programs that keep a steady flow of contracts coming in. The biggest risk is that China's infrastructure spending could slow as the country's economy matures and government debt levels rise, which would directly reduce the volume of new projects available.

Winston Score History

Score breakdown

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Quality

Gross Margin
8.1%
Thin — 8.1% gross margin
Operating Margin
3.4%
Thin — 3.4% operating margin
ROCE
0.8%
Weak — 0.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales YoY
-5.6%
Shrinking sales (-5.6% YoY)
EPS YoY
-28.4%
Earnings shrinking (-28.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Cash Conversion
99%
Turns 99% of profit into real cash
FCF Margin
-4.0%
Burning cash (-4.0%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

Debt / Equity
2.27
Heavy debt load (2.27)
Interest Cover
3.20x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.2x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)
5.8x
Attractive valuation — P/E 5.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

P/E vs Forward
+0.5
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend Yield
5.75%
Healthy income — 5.75% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend Growth
-25.4%
Dividend cut (-25.4% YoY) — warning sign

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